Hurricane Melissa Grows Stronger As It Barrels In the Direction of Jamaica
Cyclone Melissa is forecast to strengthen into a uncommon category five cyclone as it veers toward Jamaica, delivering dangerous rapid inundation and mudslides.
This weather system, which recorded wind speeds of up to 120 mph as of 0600 Greenwich Mean Time, is presently veering north-west in the Caribbean region and is projected to reach land by Tuesday, based on data from weather experts.
Warnings of electricity outages and structural damage have been issued as this storm brings up to 76cm of rainfall and storm surges as high as 4m above typical tides. "Find safe refuge immediately," locals have been urged.
Melissa is the thirteenth hurricane in the ongoing Atlantic storm period, which usually concludes in the eleventh month.
Category Five Cyclone Risk
A highest-level storm is the most powerful category, with wind speeds of at least 252 km/h.
While Melissa is expected to reduce in intensity to a fourth-level hurricane before reaching the island, authorities said there was "minimal real distinction in the general consequences" upon landfall, and that the hurricane will be "at least that intensity" when it hits the island.
Immediate Preparations
With tropical storm-strength winds and rain predicted to begin well before it moves across Jamaica's central region - possibly even the city of Kingston - alerts state that "safety measures need to be finalized quickly".
"An extended timeframe of harmful winds and torrential rain are underway and will cause devastating and dangerous rapid water accumulation and multiple rock slides," counseled weather authorities.
The country's head of government Andrew Holness commented: "I realize that there are many Jamaicans who are anxious, who are very concerned, and with good reason: you should be concerned.
"But the best way to manage anxiety and any apprehension and concern is to be prepared."
Locals are being instructed to fortify their houses with sand barriers and plywood sheets, and to stock up on basic necessities.
Regional Effects
Alerts are also active for areas in the neighboring country such as the primary urban center, the Dominican Republic and eastern Cuba, where the hurricane is anticipated to bring comparable impacts by the middle portion of the coming week.
Landslides presently generated by the storm have already killed two in Haiti, according to the nation's Civil Protection agency.
Expected Path
This weather system is projected to cross Cuba by Wednesday before passing across the Greater Antilles and out into the Atlantic Ocean.
By the point it makes contact with Cuba, it is anticipated to have weakened to a third-level storm.
Environmental Context
Although it is hard to connect specific storms to climate change, scientists say it is resulting in climate patterns increasingly frequent and more extreme.
Higher ocean heat create additional humidity in the environment, contributing to the development of hurricanes.
Prior to the commencement of this season's Atlantic storm period, climate agencies predicted higher-than-average occurrence, referencing elevated ocean temperatures and likely more intense weather patterns around West Africa - where hurricanes frequently develop.